Seasonal Update

In the Goulburn Murray Valley summer is starting, and the weather is moving accordingly. Hot days and a few storms have hit the area. Yields have been high than usual this season, though there has been some weather damage to cereal hay.
South West Victoria also had some heat and stormy weather. Generally, quality has been higher in the latest hay produced in the Mallee and Wimmera.
Gippsland was rain-free this week, allowing the south of the region to dry out quickly, with pasture going to head.
South West WA has seen 45mm of rain has so far in November.
South-eastern SA has seen variable quality and levels of weather damage to produce. Pasture hay is being baled that has been largely kept dry. The season’s end is within sight.

Figure 1:  Last Week’s Rainfall

Last Week's Rainfall - 23.11.2020

Figure 2: BoM 8-Day Rainfall Forecast

8-Day Rainfall Forecast -23.11.2020

Figure 3: BOM-Australian Landscape Water Balance

BOM-Australian Landscape Water Balance - 23.11.2020.jpg


Figure 4: Precipitation Outlook

WX Maps Precipitation Outlook - 23.11.2020

Trading and Marketing

Cereal Hay Values Into the Goulburn Valley 23.11.2020.jpg.png.jpg


Victorian growers are struggling to find buyers for new season hay this year, with prices for mid-grade export standard sitting at $180 to $200 a tonne off the farm. There are also reports of oaten, wheaten and barley hay being offered for as little as $130/tonne in the Riverina, Mallee and Wimmera regions.

Better conditions have prevailed recently in Goulburn Murray Valley, with little rain, drying breezes and a little more warmth. Some of the latest hay crops have been able to be baled with no rain exposure.

Pasture hay around South West Victoria is now being baled in the region and small amounts of straw have been made. Dairy farmers looking to plan ahead have made up the bulk of trade in the region. Some buyers are still keen on last season’s hay due to tighter average quality. Reports suggest that hay destined for the export market, with a very low grade, is being bought for $130/tonne.

Continued wet conditions in Gippsland region may stop planting altogether this year. Pasture hay is being made in the Yarram area, which may be counting on a final bout of rainfall to finish off. Daily farmers are on the hunt for good quality in the region.

Change per t
Cereal hay +/- $0 $190-220 Steady
Lucerne hay +/- $0 $450-500 Steady
Straw +/- $0 $70-100 Steady
Pasture hay  +/- $0 $250-330 Steady

Western Australia

The South West WA hay season is close to finished for this year. Growers will be satisfied with the outcome, and generally good quality has seen exporters turn to the region as a source of premium grade product. Damaged hay that has not qualified for export is reportedly selling from the paddock $180/tonne to the coast region.

Cereal hay prices eased this week.

Change per t
Cereal hay -$35.00 $280-350 Steady
Lucerne hay +/- $0 $450-490 Steady
Straw +/- $0 $120-140 Steady
Pasture hay  +/- $0 $200-220 Steady

South Australia

Summer rain around South East SA will finish off feed in the region. Growers are left with the problem of what to do with new season hay – it’s still proving difficult to sell.

All prices remained steady this week.

Change per t
Cereal hay +/- $0 $220-250 Steady
Lucerne hay +/- $0 $330-350 Steady
Straw +/- $0 $100-120 Steady
Pasture hay +/- $0 $180-200 Steady


Pictures of 20/21 Season Crops

Hay: Oaten Hay JC-3 (Oaten Hay P), Winteroo Variety

Specifications: Crunching soft, nil weather spots or stains, fresh aroma, <1% Rye Grass, JC-3 colour (70% Green) and JC-2 stem size (<8mm), Water Soluble Carbohydrates 24.2%.

Location: KALKEE, VIC 3401

20-21 Season Hay - KALKEE, VIC 3401

Sources: Bureau of Meteorology, Dairy Australia, WX Maps, Lachstock Research, Weekly Times, Grain Central, Mecardo Expert Market Analysis, AFIA (Australian Fodder Industry Association) & Feed Central.

By Katie Lindkvist, Wingara AG.