Seasonal Update

Crops are up and doing well across New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia. With most areas continuing to receive good consistent rain.

The Goulburn/Murray Valley had a dry week. Crops in the area have lifted following widespread rain last month. There has been little rain in the Southwest Victoria this week.

10-20mm of rain was recorded in Brunswick (South West WA) this week. Cattle have come off pastures in this area and growers are spreading super potash.

No rain to report his week South East SA or Central SA. Crops continue to do well. More rain would be ideal at the end of September.

Rainfall Weekending 06.09.2020

BOM 8-Day Rainfall Forecast

Trading and Marketing

Cereal Hay Prices

Victoria

In the Goulburn/Murray Valley area the advanced crops are being made into silage. Pasture and hay boosters will be going out once silage has been cut. There is very little demand in the area.

Silage is starting to be cut in Southwest Victoria and will increase over the next month. There are still good supplies of local feed, farmers are only buying what they need to get through.

As buyers await new season how and pricing, trading has completely stopped. If the season stays on track pricing will be significantly down on previous years making it a buyer’s market.

Growers are anticipating a significant amount of hay to be made this season. With many making sure they have the undercover storage now to carry as much as they can with demand expected to slow for some time.

All prices remain steady this week.

Change per t
Cereal hay +/- $0 $190-220 Steady
Lucerne hay +/- $0 $450-500 Steady
Straw +/- $0 $80-100 Steady
Pasture hay  +/- $0 $250-330 Steady

Western Australia

There have been reports of oats being ready to be cut in the Lake Grace region.

Confidence has been restored in the west following more significant rain. There is no demand at present, and this will likely be the case until new season hay is available with a majority of it going for export.

The export industry continues to dominate the WA market and is a solid indicator on pricing. Exporters continue to seek out quality hay and as a result will set the price in the market for quality hay.

No changes to pricing to report this week.

Change per t
Cereal hay +/- $0 $330-370 Steady
Lucerne hay +/- $0 $450-490 Steady
Straw +/- $0 $120-140 Steady
Pasture hay  +/- $0 $200-220 Steady

South Australia

Demand remains very slow in Southeast South Australia. Growers are looking to November and December for inquiries to pick up, this is all dependent on conditions going into summer. Lamb growers in the area that have kept stock after the market dipped still have plenty of feed in paddocks.

Central SA crops are starting to come out in head. Hay is being cut for sheep producers, vetch and oats, by the end of September there will be a significant amount of hay cut for domestic and export.

Growers are concerned about reports of a wet spring in southern Australia. In a year where there will be a substantial amount of hay made, they cannot afford to have anything weather damaged.

No change to pricing this week.

Change per t
Cereal hay +/- $0 $220-250 Steady
Lucerne hay +/- $0 $330-350 Steady
Straw +/- $0 $100-120 Steady
Pasture hay +/- $0 $180-200 Steady

Pictures of 19/20 Season Crops

Hay: Oaten Hay JC-2 (Premium 1)

Specifications: Feels crunching soft, weather spot and staining, sweet aroma, >1% Rye Grass, JC-2 colour (75% Green) and JC-1 stem size (<6mm), Water Soluble Carbohydrates 24.5%.

Location: Rupanyup, VIC, 3388

Rupanyup, Oaten Hay

Pictures of 20/21 Season Crops

Hay: Oaten Hay

Specifications: Yallara Variety, estimated yield of 7mt/ha, soil moisture is good, seeding date 25/4/2020, expected cutting date 12/10/2020, estimated baling date 2/11/2020, inspected 15/6/2020

Location: Womboota, New South Wales

Womboota, Oaten Hay

Sources: Bureau of Meteorology, Dairy Australia, WX Maps, Lachstock Research, Weekly Times, Grain Central, Mecardo Expert Market Analysis, AFIA (Australian Fodder Industry Association) & Feed Central.

By Katie Lindkvist, Wingara AG.