Seasonal Update

The Goulburn and Murray Valley area has had cold mornings but mostly clear days last week. Urea application continues, trying to capture any rainfall to wash it in. The feed continues to grower, and the valley is still very green. With the onset of colder weather the growth is much slower now but still grazing well. The drier weather this week will help growers along the Murray River who are cutting early sown cereal crops for sil¬age.
South West WA has reported it will be dry for at least another two weeks. Hay crops are up and looking favourable at this stage. The last of grain crops are in now, with barley plantings being replaced with wheat. Some export hay growers have increased plantings for new season hay.
Southeast South Australia received 25-31mls in the last week, the Mount Gambier area is very wet. The first of the season’s crops are starting to canopy over, everything is looking good. It’s not too wet for the majority of the Southeast. First of the in crop weed spraying has occurred, farmers keen to keep the plantings nice and clean.

total rainfall forecast australia

precipitation forecast australia

Trading and Marketing

cereal hay prices into goulburn murray valley

Victoria

Enquiry is quiet and demand is low with enough feed on hand either in paddocks or in sheds. Some hay is still moving out of the region to Cooma, NSW where it is still dry.
Growers in the Riverina and southern Mallee who were offering cereal hay at $240 a tonne ex-farm plus GST last month are now competing with new sellers at $190 to $210.
Through price discounting to long-time buyers, some growers are finding sufficient demand to help clear their shed before the new crop in spring. Some sellers are realising that as well as discounting, often personal contacts are also required to make a sale.
All straw from Victoria is now priced under $100 a tonne ex-farm, but finding a buyer at any price will still be a challenge.

All prices in Victoria remain steady this week.

Change per t
Cereal hay +/- $0 $190-220 Steady
Lucerne hay +/- $0 $450-500 Steady
Straw +/- $0 $80-100 Steady
Pasture hay  +/- $0 $250-330 Steady

Western Australia

Many are trying to get by on what feed they have as domestic prices are felt to be just too expensive.
There is very little hay or straw left that is not spoken for in Western Australia. Straw, lucerne, and pasture supplies are difficult to source. Growers have had to turn new inquiries down as they do not have the stock.

No changes to pricing to report this week.

Change per t
Cereal hay +/- $0 $330-370 Steady
Lucerne hay +/- $0 $450-490 Steady
Straw +/- $0 $120-140 Steady
Pasture hay  +/- $0 $200-220 Steady

South Australia

Demand remains flat in southeast South Australia. There is still reports of nervous selling, potentially feeling that any old and damaged stocks need to be moved before a flood of new season hay comes onto the market in the spring. There are also reports of some growers holding off for higher lucerne prices.
Demand will increase as it does for most areas when feed is needed to carry stock during the cold months, but this has not occurred to any great degree so far. Some dairy farmers further south that have been waterlogged have reached out for good hay.

No changes to pricing to report this week.

Change per t
Cereal hay +/- $0 $220-250 Steady
Lucerne hay +/- $0 $330-350 Steady
Straw +/- $0 $100-120 Steady
Pasture hay +/- $0 $180-200 Steady

Pictures of 19/20 Season Crops

Hay: Oaten Hay JC-1 Super (Super Premium):

Specifications: Feels crunchy, no weather damage, fresh aroma, <1% Barley, <1% Rye Grass, JC-1 Super colour (95% Green) and JC-1 Super stem size (<5mm).

Location: PYRAMID HILL, VIC, 3575

19/20 Crop Photos

19/20 Crop Photos

19/20 Crop Photos

Sources: Bureau of Meteorology, Dairy Australia, WX Maps, Lachstock Research, Weekly Times, Grain Central, Mecardo Expert Market Analysis, AFIA (Australian Fodder Industry Association) & Feed Central.

By Katie Lindkvist, Wingara AG.